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Friday, July 21, 2006

Lebanon Occupation, Round II

Well, the Israelis are lining up the heavy armor to rumble into Lebanon this weekend and set up their second occupation. What are they thinking? If they carve out a so-called buffer zone, Hezbollah will just move north in a tactical retreat from whatever line they draw and then harass their army and pick off Israeli soldiers as occupiers with or without those erratic missles. What could be sweeter for Hezbollah? But the thought that they just need to take the south is also stupid because, as an Israeli army chief just said on CNN, "Hezbollah is in every corner of Lebanon." Is Israel going to take over the entire country and push them into Syria? Bloody unlikely. Is some UN force going to be able to check Hezbollah in the south so that the Israeli army can withdraw? Bloody unlikely, because Hezbollah won't just roll over and no UN force will take the field without a truce. This is just going to be another disastrous occupation – one that brings down the moderate elements of the Lebanese government and radicalizes the north and the entire region even more. It appears there are no Solomons in Israel these days. At least he had the good sense to bargain for some of their cedars rather than trying to chop them all down after an invasion.

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